Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 327.278179 371.380239 420.593282 479.830521 549.528047 629.327647 728.179582
2025-07-13 269.940358 329.655558 402.606847 499.350742 625.883337 788.014801 1015.200505
2025-07-20 240.540502 308.491377 396.747260 521.958036 698.652444 944.788587 1324.095739
2025-07-27 213.641686 284.387703 380.703124 524.783398 740.903595 1063.419280 1602.265007
2025-08-03 188.329591 258.148220 356.819716 510.873678 753.846856 1138.015624 1826.169513
2025-08-10 169.183222 237.856548 338.120237 500.687499 768.899707 1215.987718 2070.774463
2025-08-17 159.642826 230.217461 336.696861 516.141912 826.369379 1373.194915 2495.023360
2025-08-24 147.741155 217.571967 325.844726 514.341683 853.486724 1480.992228 2851.536934
2025-08-31 136.206293 204.269268 312.343426 505.963967 866.957313 1564.891848 3180.153625
2025-09-07 128.198593 195.765073 305.629418 508.222921 899.912580 1692.415185 3642.181230
2025-09-14 118.843362 184.202780 292.589960 497.342411 905.542546 1764.259332 3992.858883
2025-09-21 112.092385 176.384303 285.159745 495.804971 929.344396 1879.502258 4490.669220
2025-09-28 102.557714 163.281405 267.633966 473.680002 908.574348 1893.478946 4729.344375
2025-10-05 99.999363 162.023444 271.138556 493.031392 979.804904 2139.803543 5736.021003
2025-10-12 97.978192 161.494933 275.842026 515.282570 1061.352034 2432.264014 7025.117329
2025-10-19 93.614839 156.385962 271.455525 518.064375 1098.264803 2617.972543 8049.371745
2025-10-26 87.677091 147.957319 259.987302 504.370278 1093.280770 2687.649019 8686.313515
2025-11-02 82.676397 140.925964 250.669126 494.341222 1095.901399 2780.327033 9464.722989
2025-11-09 80.809982 139.645301 252.584009 509.556986 1165.676268 3092.374327 11349.203286
2025-11-16 77.320028 135.012123 247.345775 507.784636 1190.339325 3271.023660 12756.603087
2025-11-23 73.464060 129.418941 239.701998 499.536385 1196.049504 3389.848998 13958.044284
2025-11-30 70.871064 126.132022 236.589984 501.760475 1231.654404 3621.578906 15929.850339
2025-12-07 67.301776 120.689248 228.523625 491.047583 1228.211652 3714.333989 17199.596762